I do this every year. I probably shouldn't this year, since I've seen like zero movies. But here goes. Thank you for indulging me.
Performance by an actor in a leading role
Russell Crowe in "A Beautiful Mind" (Universal and DreamWorks)
Sean Penn in "I Am Sam" (New Line)
Will Smith in "Ali" (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Denzel Washington in "Training Day" (Warner Bros.)
Tom Wilkinson in "In the Bedroom" (Miramax)
I am so underwhelmed by this catagory. Who cares? Will Smith does a very nice job in Ali, but I figure Crowe will win. Yawn.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
Jim Broadbent in "Iris" (Miramax)
Ethan Hawke in "Training Day" (Warner Bros.)
Ben Kingsley in "Sexy Beast" (Fox Searchlight)
Ian McKellen in "The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring" (New Line)
Jon Voight in "Ali" (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Ben Kingsley deserves this more than the others, no question. But, I bet Sir Ian will take it. I can live with that I guess.
Performance by an actress in a leading role
Halle Berry in "Monster's Ball" (Lions Gate)
Judi Dench in "Iris" (Miramax)
Nicole Kidman in "Moulin Rouge" (20th Century Fox)
Sissy Spacek in "In the Bedroom" (Miramax)
Renée Zellweger in "Bridget Jones's Diary" (Miramax/Universal/StudioCanal)
From what I hear Halle Berry deserves this, but I haven't seen a single one of these films. I hope Halle Berry wins, I guess. Black actresses deserve more recognition.
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Jennifer Connelly in "A Beautiful Mind" (Universal and DreamWorks)
Helen Mirren in "Gosford Park" (USA Films)
Maggie Smith in "Gosford Park" (USA Films)
Marisa Tomei in "In the Bedroom" (Miramax)
Kate Winslet in "Iris" (Miramax)
Here's the crazy catagory. This one is completely unpredictable every single year. I hope Marisa Tomei wins, cause she's a really great actress who was treated horribly when she won before.
Best animated feature film of the year
JIMMY NEUTRON: BOY GENIUS Nominee to be determined (Paramount and Nickelodeon Movies)
MONSTERS, INC. (Buena Vista) Nominee to be determined
SHREK (DreamWorks) Aron Warner
This catagory is stupid. Shrek.
Achievement in directing
A BEAUTIFUL MIND (Universal and DreamWorks)
Ron Howard
BLACK HAWK DOWN (Sony Pictures Releasing)
Ridley Scott
GOSFORD PARK (USA Films)
Robert Altman
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE FELLOWSHIP OF THE RING (New Line)
Peter Jackson
MULHOLLAND DRIVE (Universal and StudioCanal)
David Lynch
I've only seen two of these films. I'm so unqualified to predict this year. Ron Howard and Ridley Scott are both really mediocre directors that are way hot for some reason. Shit on those guys. Lynch is way overrated. Altman is a genius and Gosford Park is amazing. But, I'd have to go for Peter Jackson, if I was betting.
Screenplay based on material previously produced or published
A BEAUTIFUL MIND (Universal and DreamWorks)
Written by Akiva Goldsman
GHOST WORLD (United Artists through MGM)
Written by Daniel Clowes & Terry Zwigoff
IN THE BEDROOM (Miramax)
Screenplay by Rob Festinger and Todd Field
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE FELLOWSHIP OF THE RING (New Line)
Screenplay by Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson
SHREK (DreamWorks)
Written by Ted Elliott & Terry Rossio and Joe Stillman and Roger S.H. Schulman
The LOTR screenplay is quite an amazing thing, but, dudes, we all know Ghost World should win. It should have been nominated for best picture, too. Academy voters are sheep.
Screenplay written directly for the screen
AMÉLIE (Miramax Zoë)
Screenplay by Guillaume Laurant and Jean-Pierre Jeunet
Dialogue by Guillaume Laurant
GOSFORD PARK (USA Films)
Written by Julian Fellowes
MEMENTO (Newmarket Films)
Screenplay by Christopher Nolan
Story by Jonathan Nolan
MONSTER'S BALL (Lions Gate)
Written by Milo Addica & Will Rokos
THE ROYAL TENENBAUMS (Buena Vista)
Written by Wes Anderson & Owen Wilson
Memento, of course. No question.
Best motion picture of the year
A BEAUTIFUL MIND (Universal and DreamWorks)
A Universal Pictures and Imagine Entertainment Production
Brian Grazer and Ron Howard, Producers
GOSFORD PARK (USA Films)
A Sandcastle 5 in association with Chicagofilms and Medusa Film Production
Robert Altman, Bob Balaban and David Levy, Producers
IN THE BEDROOM (Miramax)
A Good Machine/GreeneStreet Production
Graham Leader, Ross Katz and Todd Field, Producers
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE FELLOWSHIP OF THE RING (New Line)
A New Line Cinema and Wingnut Films Production
Nominees to be determined
MOULIN ROUGE (20th Century Fox)
A 20th Century Fox Production
Martin Brown, Baz Luhrmann and Fred Baron, Producers
It seems the odds favor A Beautiful Mind. I haven't seen it, but it sounds like a really safe choice for Oscar voters. I just don't like Ron Howard's films (except Apollo 13---I liked that one). A win for Gosford Park would make my day, but I honestly feel like Lord of the Rings has a chance. I pick it.